Gulf Futures

Extracts From “France’s Arab Policy: From de Gaulle to Macron”

10 Takeaways on France and the Gulf States

1. Historical Overview of Franco-Gulf Relations

France has maintained longstanding relations with the Gulf states, dating back to the 19th century when it sought to expand its influence in the region. However, ties strengthened significantly after the Gulf nations gained independence in the 1960s and 1970s. Key milestones include:

France has traditionally viewed the Gulf as strategically important due to its energy resources, trade routes, and geopolitical position. It has aimed to project influence and secure economic and security interests in the area.

2. Political Alliances and Strategic Interests

France and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states share common concerns over regional security issues like terrorism, political Islam, and Iranian influence. This has driven closer political coordination and strategic partnerships, especially with the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

France sees the UAE as a key partner in confronting regional threats and has backed the UAE’s interventions in Libya and Yemen. It has also supported the Saudi-led coalition’s operations in Yemen despite human rights criticisms.

Both sides view their partnership as a way to counterbalance other powers like Turkey, Iran, and political Islam movements in the region. France aims to maintain its influence amid a perceived US disengagement from the Middle East.

3. Economic Ties and Trade Agreements

Economic cooperation is a cornerstone of Franco-Gulf relations. Key aspects include:

4. Military Cooperation and Arms Deals

Defense cooperation is extensive, with France being a major arms supplier to Gulf states like the UAE and Saudi Arabia. Notable deals include:

France argues these arms sales support its regional strategic partnerships and influence. However, human rights groups have criticized weapons transfers given the Gulf states’ involvement in conflicts like Yemen.

5. Energy Partnerships and Nuclear Developments

Energy cooperation is a major focus given France’s interests in securing supplies and the Gulf’s role as an energy hub. Key areas include:

The two sides aim to develop partnerships in emerging areas like hydrogen, carbon capture, and marine energy research.

6. Cultural Exchanges and Influence

Cultural ties are an important aspect, with France aiming to promote its language, education, and cultural influence in the Gulf through initiatives like:

France sees cultural outreach as a way to build long-term partnerships and project its soft power in the region.

7. French Expatriates and Community Dynamics

There are sizable French expatriate communities in the Gulf, especially in the UAE, where over 30,000 French nationals reside. Their presence is linked to the economic, educational and cultural cooperation between France and Gulf states.

However, community dynamics and rights issues have occasionally caused friction, such as controversies over French opposition figures operating in the Gulf or French concerns over expatriate security amid regional tensions.

8. Human Rights Discussions and Controversies

France’s close defense and economic ties with Gulf monarchies have faced criticism from human rights groups over the lack of scrutiny on human rights issues in those countries. Key concerns include:

France has generally prioritized its strategic interests over vocal human rights criticism of its Gulf partners. However, it claims to raise rights issues through diplomatic channels.

9. Challenges and Criticisms of Bilateral Relations

While France touts its strategic partnerships in the Gulf, critics point to several challenges:

There are also debates about whether France’s approach is too unilateral and not aligned with EU policies towards the Gulf.

10. Future Prospects in Franco-Gulf Cooperation

Despite the challenges, France and Gulf states are likely to maintain close strategic ties given their mutual interests:

However, France may face growing pressure to address human rights more substantively. Navigating great power rivalries involving the US, China, and Russia in the Gulf could also test this partnership’s future trajectory.

In summary, while deep-rooted and multi-faceted, Franco-Gulf ties will likely remain an avenue for pragmatic cooperation underpinned by strategic interests but with inherent complexities to manage.

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